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Rahul Gandhi 2.0: Will he become the Prime Minister in 2019?
Politics is a game of glorious uncertainties. It constantly changes with passage of time. After 2012, we saw the rise of Modi's juggernaut which reached its pinnacle in 2014 general elections, which saw Congress getting its lowest tally ever of 44 seats.

Since then, Modi has won most state elections in different ways like in Bihar. But since last two months, we are seeing a resurgent Rahul Gandhi giving PM Modi a run for his money. If we deeply analyse the state-wise situation, then I can surely say that Rahul Gandhi is going to become the Prime Minister in 2019.

Here are the key points to back my argument:

The BJP got 282 seats in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, out of which 97 were from Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chattisgarh, Gujarat, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh. In these states, the BJP was in direct contest with the Congress. However, if we see the present situation in these states, the BJP has lost ground big time. For example, in Rajasthan, in the bypolls held on four seats in the last three years, Congress won in three of them, and most importantly, out of these four seats, three had been vacated after MLAs of BJP got elected as Members of Parliament after the 2014 general election. It clearly proves that in Rajasthan, the BJP is a spent force. 

In the case of Madhya Pradesh, in 2014, the BJP had won 27 out of 29 seats, but in 2016, in the Ratlam-Jhabua Parliamentary bypoll which was held due to the death of the local BJP MP, Congress' Kantilal Bhura won by a thumping margin of one lakh votes, although, in 2014, he had lost by 1,37,000 votes, thus, a shift of more than 2,40,000 votes. In the recent Chitrakoot Assembly bypoll also, the BJP lost badly. This again shows that the old fort of Madhya Pradesh is slipping away from the BJP. 

The situation prevailing in Gujarat is well-known to all. The BJP had to remove its Chief Minister and now in the run up to the Assembly elections, we are seeing a troubled and nervous Prime Minister trying to use other means to influence the elections. In Gujarat, Rahul Gandhi is at his best. In fact, it would be better to call him Rahul Gandhi 2.0 

In the case of Uttar Pradesh, in 2014, the BJP had won 71 out of 80 seats in an alliance, getting 40.8 per cent vote share, and in 2017 Assembly polls, the BJP-led alliance got 39.6 per cent votes, winning 325 seats out of 403. But the combined vote share of the Samajwadi Party, Congress and the BSP was 51 per cent. If a three-party alliance materializes, the story in Uttar Pradesh will be completely changed. The alliance led by the Congress could even win 65 out of 80 seats or more. 

In southern India, there's resentment against the AIADMK in Tamil Nadu. In the last 40 years, except for this time, no party has retained power. It became possible only due to the persona of Jayalalitha. But since she is no more, and infighting is going on within the AIADMK ranks, it looks that an alliance between Congress and the DMK alliance can win maximum seats in Tamil Nadu. 

In Kerala, with three ministers of LDF alliance resigning in last one year, the situation is improving for the Congress-led UDF. Neither Mamta Banerjee's TMC nor the Left parties will ever go with the BJP. Hence, Congress remain the default choice for them. 

In north of India, Punjab is for Rahul Gandhi what Karnataka was for Indira Gandhi after her 1977 loss. Results of the Punjab Assembly elections gave Rahul Gandhi and the Congress much needed relief, moreover, winning the Gurdaspur bypoll was an added plus for India's Grand Old Party.

In light of all this, along with the failures of the ruling Central government on the economic front like jobless growth, blunder of notebandi and the ripples caused by GST, the people of India might decide to give a resurgent Rahul Gandhi the chance to serve as the country's next Prime Minister.

Editorial NOTE: This article is categorized under Opinion Section. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of In case you have a opposing view, please click here to share the same in the comments section.
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